Skip to main content
Log in

Earthquake-and-landslide events are associated with more fatalities than earthquakes alone

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Natural Hazards Aims and scope Submit manuscript

An Erratum to this article was published on 22 January 2015

Abstract

Natural hazards are natural processes of the complex Earth system and may interact and affect each other. Often a single hazard can trigger a subsequent, different hazard, such as earthquakes triggering landslides. The effect of such cascading hazards has received relatively little attention in the literature. The majority of previous research has focused on single hazards in isolation, and even multi-hazard risk assessment currently does not account for the interaction between hazards, therefore ignoring potential amplification effects. Global earthquake-and-landslide fatality data were used to model cascading events to explore relationships between the number of fatalities during single and cascading events and covariates. A multivariate statistical approach was used to model the relationship between earthquake fatalities and several covariates. The covariates included earthquake magnitude, gross domestic product, slope, poverty, health, access to cities, exposed population to earthquake shaking, building strength and whether a landslide was triggered or not. Multivariate regression analysis showed the numbers of earthquake fatalities are significantly affected by whether a subsequent landslide is triggered or not.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Allen TI, Marano KD, Earle PS, Wald DJ (2009) PAGER-CAT: A composite earthquake catalog for calibrating global fatality models. Seism Res Lett 80(1):57–62

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Buzna L, Peters K, Helbing D (2006) Modelling the dynamics of disaster spreading in network. Physica A 363(1):132–140

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Buzna L, Peters K, Ammoser H, and Helbing D (2007) Efficient response to cascading disaster spreading. Phys Rev E 75:1-7

    Google Scholar 

  • Carpignano A, Golia E, Di Mauro C, Bouchon S, Nordvik J-P (2009) A methodological approach for the definition of multi-risk maps at regional level: first application. J Risk Res 12(3):513–534

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • CIESIN (2005) Gridded Population of the World, Version 3 (GPWv3), Palisades, NY, CIESIN, Columbia University. http//sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/gpw/index.jsp. Accessed 1st Feb 2012

  • Dilley M, Chen S, Lerner-Lam A (2005) Natural Disaster Hotspots: A Global Risk Analysis. The World Bank and Columbia University

  • El-Masri S, Tipple G (1997) Urbanization, poverty and natural disasters: vulnerability of settlements in developing countries. Reconstr After Disasters 12(2):141–158

    Google Scholar 

  • Fleming G (2002) Learning to live with rivers: the ICE’s report to government. Civ Eng 150:15–21

    Google Scholar 

  • Greiving S (2006) Integrated risk assessment of multi-hazards: a new methodology. In: P Schmidt-Thome (ed) Natural and Technological Hazards and Risks Affecting the Spatial Development of European Regions, Geological Survey of Finland, Special Paper 42, 75–82

  • Helbing D, Kuhnert C (2003) Assessing interaction networks with applications to catastrophe dynamics and disaster management. Physica A 328(3–4):584–606

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Helbing D, Ammoser H, Kühnert C (2005) Disasters as extreme events and the importance of network interactions for disaster response management. In: Albeverio S, Jentsch V, Kantz H (eds) The unimaginable and unpredictable: extreme events in nature and society. Springer, Berlin, pp 319–348

    Google Scholar 

  • Hengl T and Reuter HI (2010) Worldgrids—a public repository and a WPS for global environmental layers: Slope Map. http://worldgrids.org/doku.php?id=wiki:slpsrt3. Accessed 9th Feb 2012

  • Jaiswal K and Wald DJ (2008) Creating a Global Building Inventory for Earthquake Loss Assessment and Risk Management: Open-File Report 2008-1160: Appendix VII: PAGER_database_v1.4.xls. http//pubs.usgs.gov/of/2008/1160/downloads/PAGER_database/. Accessed 4th Mar 2012

  • Jaiswal KS, Wald D (2010) An empirical model for global earthquake fatality estimation. Earthq Spectra 26(4):1017–1037

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kappes M, Keiler M, and Glade T (2010) From Single- to Multi-Hazard Risk Analyses: a concept addressing emerging challenges. In Mountain Risks: Bringing Science to Society, eds J-P Malet, T Glade and N Casagli, Proceedings of the ‘Mountain Risks’ International Conference, Nov 2010

  • Kappes M, Keiler M, von Elverfeldt K, Glade T (2012) Challenges of analyzing multi-hazard risk: a review. Nat Hazards 64(2):1925–1958

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kates RW, and Haarmann (1992) Where the poor live: are the assumptions correct? Environment 34, 4, 4–11, 25–28

  • Keefer DK (1984) Geological society of America bulletin landslides caused by earthquakes. Geol Soc Am Bull 95(4):406–421

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Keefer DK (2002) Investigating landslides caused by earthquakes: a historical review. Surv Geophys 23:473–510

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Korup O (2010) Earthquake-triggered landslides: spatial patterns and impacts. COGEAR, Module 1a Report

  • Lerner-Lam A (2007) Assessing global exposure to natural hazards: progress and future trends. Environ Hazards 7:10–19

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Macintyre AG, Barbera JA, Smith ER (2006) Surviving collapsed structure entrapment after earthquakes: a “time-to rescue” analysis. Prehosp Disaster Med 21(1):4–19

    Google Scholar 

  • Marano KD, Wald DJ, Allen TI (2010) Global earthquake casualties due to secondary effects: a quantitative analysis for improving rapid loss analyses. Nat Hazards 52:319–328

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Marzocchi W, Mastellone ML, and Di Ruocco A (2009) Principles of multi-risk assessment: Interaction amongst natural and man-induced risks. European Commission EU 23615

  • Meunier P, Houvis N, Haines JA (2007) Regional patterns of earthquake-triggered landslides and their relation to ground motion. Geophys Res Lett 34:L20408

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nelson A (2008) Travel time to major cities: A global map of Accessibility. Global environment monitoring unit: Joint Research Centre of the European Commission, Ispra Italy. http://www-tem.jrc.it/accessibility. Accessed 9 Mar 2012

  • Peduzzi P, Dao H, Herold C, Mouton F (2009) Assessing global exposure and vulnerability towards natural hazards: the disaster risk index. Earth 4:1149–1159

    Google Scholar 

  • Rodriguez CE, Bommer JJ, Chandler RJ (1999) Earthquake-induced landslides: 1980–1997. Soil Dyn Earthq Eng 18:325–346

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shi P (2005) Theory and practice on disaster system research. Paper for the Fifth Annual IIASA-DPRI Forum

  • Sidle RC, Ochiai H (2006) Landslides: processes, prediction, and landuse. Water Resour Monogr. AGU, Washington, DC

  • UNDP (2004) Reducing disaster risk: a challenge for development. UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, New York 146 pp

    Google Scholar 

  • UNDP (2013) International Human Development Indices: Data. http://hdrstats.undp.org/en/tables/. Accessed 1 Mar 2012

  • UNU-EHS (2011) World Risk Report 2011

  • Yetman G, Gaffin SR, and Xing X (2004) Global 15 × 15 Minute Grids of the Downscaled GDP Based on the SRES B2 Scenario, 1990 and 2025. Palisades, NY: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). http://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/sdp-downscaled-gdp-grid-b2-1990-2025. Accessed 1 Mar 2012

Download references

Acknowledgments

We would like to thank the Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters and US Geological Survey for the provision of earthquake data.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to M. E. A. Budimir.

Appendix 1

Appendix 1

See Table 7.

Table 7 A list of the acronyms used

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Budimir, M.E.A., Atkinson, P.M. & Lewis, H.G. Earthquake-and-landslide events are associated with more fatalities than earthquakes alone. Nat Hazards 72, 895–914 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-014-1044-4

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-014-1044-4

Keywords

Navigation