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Gold plunges in broad risk-on trade, as Dow hits all-time high

Published 07/12/2016, 01:22 PM
Updated 07/12/2016, 01:33 PM
Gold plummeted by more than $20 an ounce on Tuesday to close below $1,340

Investing.com -- Gold fell sharply in broad risk-on trade, as the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged to an all-time intraday high on Tuesday morning, dampening the precious metal's demand as a safe-haven asset.

On the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, Gold for August delivery traded between $1,331.00 and $1,358.70 an ounce, before settling at $1.335.50, down $21.05 or 1.55% on the session. With the considerable losses, Gold suffered its worst one-day session since June 21 when it tumbled by more than 1.5% in pre-Brexit trade amid indications that the Stay campaign had taken a commanding lead in a wide sampling of closely-watched polls. Days later, Gold surged nearly 5% following the shocking decision by U.K. voters to approve a measure to leave the European Union, prompting investors to engage in a flight to safety to the Yellow metal. As market players have piled into Gold over the last several weeks, the commodity soared above $1,370 last Wednesday to hit a 28-month high. Since opening the year around $1,075 an ounce, Gold has surged more than 27% over the first seven months of 2016.

Gold likely gained support at $1,323.50, the low from June 8 and was met with resistance at $1,391.40 the high from March 17, 2014.

U.S. stocks opened at record-highs, as the Dow surged more than 100 points to an intra-session high of 18,353.76, eclipsing the previous all-time intraday high of 18,351.36 from last May. Since tumbling by more than 850 points over a two-day, post-Brexit sell-off, the Dow has rallied approximately 1,300 points during the massive global equities rally. At the same time, the S&P 500 Composite index reached fresh intraday highs for the second consecutive session, while the NASDAQ Composite index erased all of its losses on the calendar year.

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Meanwhile, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis president James Bullard reiterated his position that current economic conditions deem it appropriate for the U.S. central bank to raise short-term rates only once over the next two years. While delivering a speech in St. Louis, Bullard noted that a flattening yield curve from plummeting long-term U.S. Treasury yields does not necessarily imply signals of an imminent recession. In the wake of last month's Brexit decision, government bond yields worldwide, including those on U.S. 10-Year and 30-Year Treasuries have plunged to all-time record lows.

"Wall Street is taking it as a signal that growth is slowing. I think it is a flight to safety following the Brexit shock," Bullard said. "That is driving yields down and I would not take it as a signal of U.S. growth prospects."

Despite Bullard's dovish position, analysts from Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE:GS) said Tuesday they still anticipate that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will "return to hiking rates," before long. Following a relatively strong U.S. employment report for the month of June, the Fed Futures Rate for a single rate hike in 2016 increased to 32.7% on Tuesday, up from 12% before last Friday's release.

Investors who are bullish on Gold are in favor of a gradual tightening of monetary policy by the Fed. Gold, which is not attached to interest rates, struggles to compete with high-yield bearing assets in rising rate environments.

The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the strength of the greenback versus a basket of six other major currencies, fell more than 0.40% to an intraday low of 96.08 before rallying to 96.32 in U.S. afternoon trading. Despite a recent upturn, the index is still down more than 3% since early-December.

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Dollar denominated commodities such as gold become more expensive for foreign purchasers when the dollar appreciates.

Silver for August delivery lost 0.141 or 0.69% to $20.163 an ounce. Last week, the front month contract for silver futures surged above $21.20 an ounce to hit fresh two-year highs.

Copper for September delivery soared 0.065 or 3.00% to $2.212 a pound.

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