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Delivering on the Promise of M-Commerce
    Perspectives on Emerging Opportunities
    April 2011

    Dr. Phil Hendrix
    Founder and Director, immr and GigaOm Pro Analyst
    www.immr.org
    1 (770) 612-1488
    phil.hendrix@immr.org




1                ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
Mobile Fosters Communications, Interactions and Transactions

                      Consumers
                                                                                                                60% of traffic on the
                                                                                                                mobile internet in the
                                                                                                                US is to Social
                                                                                                                Networking sites.


                                                                   Social
                                                                   Media


    U.S. Mobile ad                                                                                                                           Two out of three
    revenues:                                                                                                                                mobile phone users
    CAGR 43%,                                                                                                                                will use their devices
    USD3bn by 2014                                                                                                                           while shopping this
                                                                                                                                             holiday season.


                                 Mobile                                                     Mobile
                               Advertising                                                 Commerce




         Brands                                                                                                                               Merchants
                               Sources: immr; Ground Truth; BIA Kelsey; Nielsen/Yahoo



2                    ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
Using Mobile to Enable, Enhance and Engage with Customers

       Mobile Devices, Applications and Platforms



                                                         Enable
                                                        (Improve
                                                       Customers’
                                                      Experiences)




                      Engage                                                          Enhance
              (Deepen Customer                                                            (Delight
                Relationships)                                                           Customers)




3             ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
Mobile Devices and Apps as Concierge

                    Illustration for a Restaurant

                                            Pre-                                     During                                     Post-
                                            Visit                                     Visit                                     Visit
            What
           Guests
                                                                                Illustration
             Do
                                                         Restaurant Customer – Basic Process

                                       Arrive                Park           Check-                Wait               Order              Pay
                                                                              in



           Mobile
           Apps
                                      Get                 Find               Check-in              Wait            Specials/            Pay
                                   Directions            Parking                                   Time             Order



                              Enable Customers to Share

            Where I am                                                   Who else is there
            Favorite dishes                                              How’s the service

4               ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
Consumer Behavior and M-Commerce

         Passive                                                                                       Active


         Consume                                             Discover                                   Compare                                        Buy


           Products,                                        Needs/                                     Products,                                      Products
           Services,                                        Wants,                                      Brands,                                         and
            Media†                                         Solutions                                   Merchants                                      Services


                                                  Interacting and Sharing
                                                   with Other Consumers




                                                         M-Commerce
    †Including   POEM (Paid, Owned, and Earned (e.g., Social) Media)


5                             ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
The M-Commerce Ecosystem – Rapidly Evolving, Expanding




6             ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
State of M-Commerce – Fragmented, but Quickly Consolidating



                                                           Mobile
                                                          Shopping
                                   Mobile                                             Mobile
                                  Payment                                             Funds
                                                                                     Transfer

                       Mobile                    Mobile                                      Mobile
                       Offers                   Commerce                                   Advertising



                                     Mobile                                          Mobile
                                    Booking                                         Rewards
                                                            Mobile
                                                           Coupons




7             ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
M-Commerce – An Enormous New Business Opportunity

    Highest Value                                                           Mobile
                                                                           Shopping
                     Mobile                                                                                                    Mobile Funds
                    Payment                                                                                                      Transfer




              Mobile                                                Mobile                                                                       Mobile
              Offers                                               Commerce                                                                    Advertising




                     Mobile                                                                                                          Mobile
                    Booking                                                                                                         Rewards
                                                                             Mobile
                                                                            Coupons


8                      ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
Platform Leaders Uniquely Positioned to Lead in M-Commerce

               Consumers




                                        “A world-class
                                     M-commerce platform
                                     enables and enhances
                                      exchanges between
                                    consumers†, brands and
                                         merchants.”




    Brands                                                                                                                            Merchants
                                                                                                                                      †National   and local


9             ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
Enabling M-Commerce – “The Flywheel”


          Distinctive M-Commerce Capabilities

          User                                             Hyper-                                                          Ambient
         Control                                            local                                                           Aware




      Optimization                                    Signals                                                       Bricks &
        at Scale                                     in Social                                                       Clicks



10            ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
Key Capabilities of an M-Commerce Platform…
      Secure                                  Sub-meter accuracy                                                  Real-time integration
      Transparent                             Indoors/urban canyons                                               Live data (weather, traffic, etc.)
      Opt-in, granular controls               Any mobile device                                                   All geo-coded, overlaid

             User                                                  Hyper-                                                                 Ambient
            Control                                                 local                                                                  Aware




       Search
       Display
       Offers


       Optimization                                        Signals                                                                    Bricks &
         at Scale                                         in Social                                                                    Clicks
      Real-time optimization                  Real-time semantic analysis                                         Real-time inventory, prices
      Search, display, offers                 Highly accurate                                                     Price comparison engine
      Data from 10k+ sources                  Influencer analysis                                                 Transaction history

11                       ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
Platform Must Enable and Enhance Consumers’ Experience

         Leveraging Intelligence†  Delivering Relevance

                                                                          Who I am…
                          What
                          I Like                                                                                                      Where I am



                   What I                                                                                                                          What’s
                 respond to                                                                                                                        Nearby



                  What I’ve                                                                                                                      What’s
                   bought                                                                                                                       going On




                          Where                                                                                                            Where
                        I’ve been                                                 What                                                   I’m going
                                                                                 I need
     †Always   with full transparency, cooperation from the consumer

12                             ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
Picking the M-Commerce Winners




13           ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
Dr. Phil Hendrix – Bio
                             Dr. Phil Hendrix is the founder and director of immr, a research and consulting firm focused on “very
                             new” product and market opportunities, and an analyst with GigaOm Pro. He specializes in helping
                             organizations identify, verify, and capitalize on opportunities for products that are new-to-customers
                             and very often new-to-market. Dr. Hendrix has developed perspectives and research-based tools to
                             uncover customers’ unmet needs, reveal hurdles slowing adoption, trigger interest and accelerate
                             purchase, and determine features and pricing to maximize market penetration. He has extensive
                             experience adapting and applying research approaches, both qualitative and quantitative, to amplify
     Dr. Phil Hendrix        weak market signals and help clients innovate successfully.
     Director, immr          Phil has led significant engagements with numerous startups (such as Company.com) and multiple
     www.immr.org            business units of Fortune 100 clients in telecommunications (AT&T, Verizon, Sprint, Sony Ericsson,
     +1 (770) 612-1488       and others), financial services (American Express), transportation (UPS), insurance (Allstate, United
     phil.hendrix@immr.org   Healthcare), healthcare (Meridian Health, US Oncology), and others. He has worked closely with
                             senior management and client project teams on issues ranging from “traditional marketing”
                             (segmentation, positioning, branding) to innovation, user experience, and customer retention. Over
                             the course of his career, Phil has helped clients conceive and successfully launch dozens of new
                             products, businesses, and brands. He has extensive experience in B2C and B2B (SMB) markets. He
                             is also a frequent speaker at industry and academic conferences.

                             Phil brings a unique combination of academic rigor, strategic perspective, and hands-on experience to
                             his work. Before founding immr, Phil was a partner with DiamondCluster (strategy and technology
                             consultancy), founder and head of IMS (Integrated Measurement Systems), and a principal with
                             Mercer Management Consulting. He has held faculty and research positions at Emory University and
                             the University of Michigan, where he taught courses in research design and analysis, buyer behavior,
                             and marketing strategy, and the Survey Research Center at U. of Michigan. After receiving his PhD
                             in marketing from the University of Michigan, Dr. Hendrix completed post-doctoral studies in applied
                             statistics and mathematical psychology.

                             Overview and excerpts from Phil’s recent publications are available at Slideshare
                             (www.slideshare/pehendrix), with additional information available at www.immr.org and GigaOm Pro.


14                             ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
immr Helps Clients Verify and Capitalize on Market Opportunities




15             ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
Dr. Phil Hendrix – Recent Reports and Publications
        Excerpts available at www.slideshare.net/pehendrix                                                    Copies available at http://pro.gigaom.com/




16                            ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
Recent Presentations, Conference Participation
                    Workshop – Monetization                                                                                       If we build it, will they
                    Models for Location, Augmented                                                                                come? Consumer Demand
                    Reality and Context Servicesa                                                                                 and Preferences for Tablets
                    April 28, 2010 – San Francisco                                                                                in the iPad Erac
                                                                                                                                  Oct. 5, 2010 – San Francisco

                    Dealing With The Data Tsunami:                                                                                WCA Presents: What’s Hot
                    The Big Data Panela                                                                                           about LBS?a
                    June 23–24, 2010 – San Francisco                                                                              Oct. 8, 2010 – San Francisco



                    The Futures of Location-based                                                                                 Local at the Bleeding Edge +
                    Servicesa                                                                                                     Making Money with
                    The Future of Geo-loco                                                                                        Location-Based Servicesa,b
                    Investmenta                                                                                                   Nov. 3, 2010 – New York
                    July 21, 2010 – San Francisco

                    Build Sustainable LBS Business                                                                                Visions for 2011 –
                    Models for 2011 and Beyonda                                                                                   M-Commerceb
                    Sept. 14 – 15, 2010 – San Jose                                                                                Wireless Technology Forum
                                                                                                                                  Nov. 18, 2010 – Atlanta


                    Trends and Numbers - Where is                                                                                 Are Tablets Taking Over?a, c
                    It All Goingb                                                                                                 Wireless Technology Forum
                    Sept. 29-30, 2010 – New York                                                                                  March 18, 2011– Atlanta


                    Apps vs. Web: The Fight For The                                                                               Market Outlook for Tabletsc
                    Futurea                                                                                                       Future of Tablets Conf.
                    Sept. 30, 2010 – San Francisco                                                                                March 22, 2011 - Orlando


     a                                                        b                                                                             c
     Moderated session/panel                                   Participating on Panel                                                           Presenting

17                      ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org

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Delivering on the Promise of M-Commerce, Dr. Phil Hendrix, immr - April 2011

  • 1. Delivering on the Promise of M-Commerce Perspectives on Emerging Opportunities April 2011 Dr. Phil Hendrix Founder and Director, immr and GigaOm Pro Analyst www.immr.org 1 (770) 612-1488 phil.hendrix@immr.org 1 ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
  • 2. Mobile Fosters Communications, Interactions and Transactions Consumers 60% of traffic on the mobile internet in the US is to Social Networking sites. Social Media U.S. Mobile ad Two out of three revenues: mobile phone users CAGR 43%, will use their devices USD3bn by 2014 while shopping this holiday season. Mobile Mobile Advertising Commerce Brands Merchants Sources: immr; Ground Truth; BIA Kelsey; Nielsen/Yahoo 2 ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
  • 3. Using Mobile to Enable, Enhance and Engage with Customers Mobile Devices, Applications and Platforms Enable (Improve Customers’ Experiences) Engage Enhance (Deepen Customer (Delight Relationships) Customers) 3 ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
  • 4. Mobile Devices and Apps as Concierge Illustration for a Restaurant Pre- During Post- Visit Visit Visit What Guests Illustration Do Restaurant Customer – Basic Process Arrive Park Check- Wait Order Pay in Mobile Apps Get Find Check-in Wait Specials/ Pay Directions Parking Time Order Enable Customers to Share  Where I am  Who else is there  Favorite dishes  How’s the service 4 ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
  • 5. Consumer Behavior and M-Commerce Passive Active Consume Discover Compare Buy Products, Needs/ Products, Products Services, Wants, Brands, and Media† Solutions Merchants Services Interacting and Sharing with Other Consumers M-Commerce †Including POEM (Paid, Owned, and Earned (e.g., Social) Media) 5 ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
  • 6. The M-Commerce Ecosystem – Rapidly Evolving, Expanding 6 ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
  • 7. State of M-Commerce – Fragmented, but Quickly Consolidating Mobile Shopping Mobile Mobile Payment Funds Transfer Mobile Mobile Mobile Offers Commerce Advertising Mobile Mobile Booking Rewards Mobile Coupons 7 ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
  • 8. M-Commerce – An Enormous New Business Opportunity Highest Value Mobile Shopping Mobile Mobile Funds Payment Transfer Mobile Mobile Mobile Offers Commerce Advertising Mobile Mobile Booking Rewards Mobile Coupons 8 ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
  • 9. Platform Leaders Uniquely Positioned to Lead in M-Commerce Consumers “A world-class M-commerce platform enables and enhances exchanges between consumers†, brands and merchants.” Brands Merchants †National and local 9 ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
  • 10. Enabling M-Commerce – “The Flywheel” Distinctive M-Commerce Capabilities User Hyper- Ambient Control local Aware Optimization Signals Bricks & at Scale in Social Clicks 10 ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
  • 11. Key Capabilities of an M-Commerce Platform…  Secure  Sub-meter accuracy  Real-time integration  Transparent  Indoors/urban canyons  Live data (weather, traffic, etc.)  Opt-in, granular controls  Any mobile device  All geo-coded, overlaid User Hyper- Ambient Control local Aware  Search  Display  Offers Optimization Signals Bricks & at Scale in Social Clicks  Real-time optimization  Real-time semantic analysis  Real-time inventory, prices  Search, display, offers  Highly accurate  Price comparison engine  Data from 10k+ sources  Influencer analysis  Transaction history 11 ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
  • 12. Platform Must Enable and Enhance Consumers’ Experience Leveraging Intelligence†  Delivering Relevance Who I am… What I Like Where I am What I What’s respond to Nearby What I’ve What’s bought going On Where Where I’ve been What I’m going I need †Always with full transparency, cooperation from the consumer 12 ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
  • 13. Picking the M-Commerce Winners 13 ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
  • 14. Dr. Phil Hendrix – Bio Dr. Phil Hendrix is the founder and director of immr, a research and consulting firm focused on “very new” product and market opportunities, and an analyst with GigaOm Pro. He specializes in helping organizations identify, verify, and capitalize on opportunities for products that are new-to-customers and very often new-to-market. Dr. Hendrix has developed perspectives and research-based tools to uncover customers’ unmet needs, reveal hurdles slowing adoption, trigger interest and accelerate purchase, and determine features and pricing to maximize market penetration. He has extensive experience adapting and applying research approaches, both qualitative and quantitative, to amplify Dr. Phil Hendrix weak market signals and help clients innovate successfully. Director, immr Phil has led significant engagements with numerous startups (such as Company.com) and multiple www.immr.org business units of Fortune 100 clients in telecommunications (AT&T, Verizon, Sprint, Sony Ericsson, +1 (770) 612-1488 and others), financial services (American Express), transportation (UPS), insurance (Allstate, United phil.hendrix@immr.org Healthcare), healthcare (Meridian Health, US Oncology), and others. He has worked closely with senior management and client project teams on issues ranging from “traditional marketing” (segmentation, positioning, branding) to innovation, user experience, and customer retention. Over the course of his career, Phil has helped clients conceive and successfully launch dozens of new products, businesses, and brands. He has extensive experience in B2C and B2B (SMB) markets. He is also a frequent speaker at industry and academic conferences. Phil brings a unique combination of academic rigor, strategic perspective, and hands-on experience to his work. Before founding immr, Phil was a partner with DiamondCluster (strategy and technology consultancy), founder and head of IMS (Integrated Measurement Systems), and a principal with Mercer Management Consulting. He has held faculty and research positions at Emory University and the University of Michigan, where he taught courses in research design and analysis, buyer behavior, and marketing strategy, and the Survey Research Center at U. of Michigan. After receiving his PhD in marketing from the University of Michigan, Dr. Hendrix completed post-doctoral studies in applied statistics and mathematical psychology. Overview and excerpts from Phil’s recent publications are available at Slideshare (www.slideshare/pehendrix), with additional information available at www.immr.org and GigaOm Pro. 14 ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
  • 15. immr Helps Clients Verify and Capitalize on Market Opportunities 15 ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
  • 16. Dr. Phil Hendrix – Recent Reports and Publications Excerpts available at www.slideshare.net/pehendrix Copies available at http://pro.gigaom.com/ 16 ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org
  • 17. Recent Presentations, Conference Participation Workshop – Monetization If we build it, will they Models for Location, Augmented come? Consumer Demand Reality and Context Servicesa and Preferences for Tablets April 28, 2010 – San Francisco in the iPad Erac Oct. 5, 2010 – San Francisco Dealing With The Data Tsunami: WCA Presents: What’s Hot The Big Data Panela about LBS?a June 23–24, 2010 – San Francisco Oct. 8, 2010 – San Francisco The Futures of Location-based Local at the Bleeding Edge + Servicesa Making Money with The Future of Geo-loco Location-Based Servicesa,b Investmenta Nov. 3, 2010 – New York July 21, 2010 – San Francisco Build Sustainable LBS Business Visions for 2011 – Models for 2011 and Beyonda M-Commerceb Sept. 14 – 15, 2010 – San Jose Wireless Technology Forum Nov. 18, 2010 – Atlanta Trends and Numbers - Where is Are Tablets Taking Over?a, c It All Goingb Wireless Technology Forum Sept. 29-30, 2010 – New York March 18, 2011– Atlanta Apps vs. Web: The Fight For The Market Outlook for Tabletsc Futurea Future of Tablets Conf. Sept. 30, 2010 – San Francisco March 22, 2011 - Orlando a b c Moderated session/panel Participating on Panel Presenting 17 ©2011. Permission granted to copy and distribute with attribution - Dr. Phil Hendrix , immr/GigaOm Pro - www.immr.org