TOP MOBILE INTERNET TRENDS

Matt Murphy / Mary Meeker – 2/10/11

http://www.slideshare.net/kleinerperkins/kpcb-top-10-mobile-trends-feb-2011

Copyright 2011. All rights reserved. Duplication or redistribution of this presentation are prohibited without prior written authorization.
1
 Mobile Trends – Rapid Growth + Disruption

1. Mobile Platforms Hit Critical Mass

2. Mobile is Global
3. Social Networking Accelerating Growth of Mobile
4. Time Shifting to Mobile Usage
5. Mobile Advertising – Growing Pains But Huge Promise
6. mCommerce – Changing Shopping Behavior
7. Emergence of Virtual Goods & In-App Commerce
8. Not All Platforms Are Created Equal
9. Change Will Accelerate, New Players Emerging Rapidly
10. Summary Trends to Watch

2
MOBILE PLATFORMS HIT
CRITICAL MASS
 iPods Changed the Media Industry…iPhones Ramped Even
Faster…iPad Growth Leaves its “Siblings” in the Dust
First 3 Quarters Cumulative Unit Shipments, iPod vs. iPhone vs. iPad

16,000
iPad iPhone iPod
14,000

12,000
Global Unit Shipments (000)

10,000

8,000

6,000

4,000

2,000

0
0 1 2 3
Quarters After Launch

Source: Apple.

4
 iTunes Changed the Media Industry…App Store
Growth Leaves it in the Dust
Cumulative Number of Downloads, iTunes Music / Video / Movie vs. Apps,
First 10 Quarters
10
Apps iTunes

8
# of Downloads (B)

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Quarters After Launch

Source: Apple.

5
 Android has Hit Critical Mass

First 9 Quarters Cumulative Android Unit Shipments

80
Android Global Units Shipped
70
Global Cumulative Unit Shipments (MM)

60

50

40

30

20

10

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Quarters After Launch

Source: Gartner.

6
 Smartphone + Tablet > PC Shipments Since CQ4:10

Global Unit Shipments of Desktop PCs + Notebook PCs vs. Smartphones + Tablets,
2005-2013E
700,000
CQ4:10: Inflection Point
Smartphones + Tablets > Total PCs
600,000
Global Unit Shipments (MM)

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011E 2012E 2013E

Desktop PCs Notebook PCs Smartphones Tablets

Note: Notebook PCs include Netbooks. Source: Katy Huberty, Ehud Gelblum, Morgan Stanley Research.
Data and Estimates as of 2/11

7
MOBILE IS GLOBAL
 5 Countries = 46% of Internet Users –
China, USA, Russia, Brazil, India

2009 – 1.8B Global Internet Users, +13% Y/Y(1);

18.8T Minutes Spent, +21% Y/Y(2)

Russia
60MM users; +31% Y/Y
42% penetration*

USA
240MM users, +4% Y/Y China
76% penetration* 384MM users; +29% Y/Y
29% penetration*

Brazil India
76MM users, +17% Y/Y 61MM users; +18% Y/Y
39% penetration* 5% penetration*

Note: *Penetration is per 100 inhabitants.

Source: 1) Internet user stats per InternationalSource:
Telecommunications
1) Internet userUnion; 2) time
stats per spent data
International per comScore global
Telecommunications 12/09.
Union; 2) time spent data per comScore global 12/09.
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 35% Y/Y Global Mobile 3G Subscriber Growth
to ~726MM, CQ3

CQ3:10 3G 3G Sub CQ3:10 3G 3G Sub

3G Subs Penetra- Y/Y 3G Subs Penetra- Y/Y
Rank Country (MM) tion Growth Rank Country (MM) tion Growth

1 USA 141 47% 27% 16 Taiwan 11 42% 40%

2 Japan 109 95 12 17 Malaysia 9 26 23
3 Korea 40 79 12 18 Saudi Arabia 8 18 50
4 Italy 34 40 21 19 Sweden 7 57 43
5 UK 31 41 32 20 South Africa 7 15 36
6 Germany 28 28 28 21 Turkey 6 10 160
7 Spain 27 48 21 22 Netherlands 6 32 27
8 Poland 23 50 35 23 Philippines 6 7 98
9 Indonesia 21 11 54 24 Portugal 6 35 8
10 France 21 33 30 25 Austria 6 46 30
11 China 20 2 458 26 Israel 5 52 18
12 Brazil 19 10 177 27 Vietnam 5 4 707
13 Australia 18 66 29 28 Singapore 4 59 48
14 Canada 12 50 147 29 Egypt 4 7 34
15 Russia 12 5 67 30 Greece 4 26 28

Global 3G Stats: Subscribers = ~726MM Penetration = 14% Growth = 35%

Note: *Informa reports a lower global 3G subscription # vs. Ovum due to the exclusion of 4G and the use of different sources. 3G includes CDMA 1x EV-DO and
Rev. A/B, WCDMA, HSPA; Source: Informa WCIS+.

10
SOCIAL NETWORKING
ACCELERATING GROWTH OF
MOBILE
 Different Types of Platforms = Facebook + Apple + Google

iPhone/iTouch/iPad

662MM users 130MM+ users

SOCIAL +41% Y/Y +103% Y/Y
MOBILE

550K+ apps 350K+ apps

500MM+ downloads 10B+ downloads

972MM users
+8% Y/Y
SEARCH
CQ4: CPCs +4% Q/Q
paid clicks +18% Y/Y

Source: Company data, comScore global 12/10.

*Google Android momentum especially strong too.

12
 Emerging Types of Social Networks…More to Come

INFORMATION 253MM 130MM+

unique visitors monthly active users GAMING
SHARING
+85% Y/Y +15% Y/Y

51MM
subscribers
+25x Y/Y

COMMERCE
Source: Groupon, Twitter, Zynga.

13
 Zynga Proves that Great New Social Products
for ‘Old’ Users Can Ramp Extremely Quickly
Daily Active Users, FarmVille vs. CityVille, First 60 Days Since Product Launch

20
FarmVille CityVille
Daily Active Users (MM)

16

12

-
1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 56
Days After Launch
Source: Zynga. Note that FarmVille launched in 6/09, CityVille launched in 12/10.

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 Real-Time Social Features Accelerating Mobile Usage
Growth - Sharing + Location + Friending...

Location Sharing Communication Music Sharing

FourSquare Whrrl Twitter TextPlus TextFree Shazam Spotify

FB Connect for Mobile – Built in Friend Connectivity, Share, Virality

Invite Friends Share Feed

15
KPCB’s John Doerr Calls It “SoLoMo”…

So Lo Mo
Social Local Mobile

16
TIME SHIFTING TO MOBILE
USAGE

17
 Japan Social Networking Trends Show Importance of Mobile –
Mixi Mobile Page Views = 85% vs. 14% 4.5 Years Ago

Mixi’s (Japan’s Leading Social Network) Monthly Page Views,

Mobile vs. PC, CQ2:06-CQ4:10

Mobile Page Views 85%

30,000
Desktop Page Views
Monthly Page Views (MM)

25,000
CQ3:09 – Platform opened
20,000 to 3rd-party developers

15,000

10,000
14%
5,000
86% 15%
0
2Q06 4Q06 2Q07 4Q07 2Q08 4Q08 2Q09 4Q09 2Q10 4Q10

Note: Mixi is one of Japan’s leading social networking sites on PC and mobile with 20MM registered users as of
12/31/10. It monetizes mobile usage via sales of avatars, customized homepages and other premium services.
Source: Company reports, Naoshi Nema, Morgan Stanley Research

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 60% of Time Spent on Smartphones
is New Activity for Mobile Users
Average Time Spent on Various Mobile Functions, 1/11

10 minutes (12%)
Web/Web Apps NEW ACTIVITY

27 minutes (32%) 40 minutes (47%)

Telephony All Other
• Phone • Maps
• Skype • Games
• Messages • Social Networking
• Utilities
• More…

7 minutes (9%)
Mail App

Source: AppsFire, 1/11.

Note that Android users show a higher % browsing activity.

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 Global Mobile Data Traffic Should Grow 26x
Over Next 5 Years
Global Mobile Data Traffic, by Type
2008 – 2015E 2010-2015E
, , CAGR
Total Mobile Data Traffic (Tetabyte per month)

Total 92%
6,000,000 5%

22% M2M* 109%

5,000,000

6% Data 80%
4,000,000

3,000,000 File Sharing 62%

66%
2,000,000 Video 104%

1,000,000
VoIP 42%

0
2008 2009 2010 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E

Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Data Traffic Forecast, 2010-2015

20
 Strong Mobile Trends for Leading Social Companies

200MM mobile active users vs. Mobile = 50% of total active users,
50M in 9/09 vs. 25% Y/Y
2x more active than desktop-only users Mobile = 40% of all tweets

Introduction of mobile product drove 2x conversion

ratio from free to paying subscribers
Mobile users = 25-30% total users in mature markets

100MM mobile users vs.

50MM Y/Y Adding 3MM users per month
50% of all users subscribe on mobile

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MOBILE ADVERTISING –
GROWING PAINS BUT HUGE
PROMISE
 So Far, Difficult to Build Consistent Mobile Ad Revenue
Owing to Lumpy Buys, Need for More Premium Advertisers…

2010 Mobile eCPMs for 4 KPCB Portfolio Companies

$
4

3
A
B
2
C
D
1

0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Source: KPCB Companies

23
 …Yet the Efficacy of Mobile Ads vs. Other Media is
Compelling

Relative Efficacy of Mobile vs. Other Advertising Media, 1/11

Reach Targeting Engagement Viral Transaction

Mobile 100 90 70 80 80

Internet 50 50 80 40 60

1
TV 50 30 90 0
20

1 1 1
Print 40 0 20 0 0

Radio 60
1
0 40
1
0

1
Outdoor 20 0
1
0

Source: Chetan Sharma, January 2011

24
 Media Time Spent vs. Ad Spend Still Out of Whack
Internet/Mobile (upside…) vs. Newspaper/Magazine/TV (downside…)

% of Time Spent in Media vs. % of Advertising Spending, USA 2009

Time Spent Ad Spend

50%
% of Total Media Consumption Time
or Advertising Spending

40%
39%
30%
31%
26%
28% ~$50B
Global
20% Opportunity

16%
10% 12% 13%
9%
0%
Print Radio TV Internet

Note: Time spent data per NA Technographics (2009), ad spend data per VSS, Internet advertising opportunity
assumes online ad spend share matches time spent share, per Yahoo!. Source: Yahoo! Investor Day, 5/10.

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 Advertising $s Follow Eyeballs –
Ad Revenue per User = $46 in 2009E vs. $0 in 1994E

1995E 2009E

Global Internet Ad Revenue $55MM $54B

Ad Revenue per User $9 $46
Global Internet Users 6MM 1.2B

Source: Global online ad revenue per Juniper Communications (1995), ZenithOptimedia (2009). Internet users per
Morgan Stanley estimate (1995) and comScore (2009). We note that comScore reports a lower global Internet user #
than International Telecommunications Union. Morgan Stanley Research.

26
26
 Google Paid Clicks & Cost-Per-Click Continue to
Accelerate…Mobile Search as a Key Driver?

CQ4:09 CQ1:10 CQ2:10 CQ3:10 CQ4:10

Gross Advertising Revenue ($MM) $6,465 $6,475 $6,562 $7,032 $8,167

Y/Y Growth 17% 21% 23% 22% 26%
Q/Q Growth 12% 0% 1% 7% 16%

Aggregate Paid Clicks (MM) 12,401 12,909 12,651 13,157 14,669

Y/Y Growth 13% 15% 15% 16% 18%
Q/Q Growth 9% 4% -2% 4% 11%

Cost per Click (CPC - $) $0.52 $0.50 $0.52 $0.53 $0.56

Y/Y Growth 4% 6% 7% 6% 7%
Q/Q Growth 3% (4%) 3% 3% 4%

27
 New & More Powerful Ad Units are Rolling Out
Quickly in Mobile…

Disney Super Bowl Sunday takeover campaign -- All pages of textPlus, February 7, 2010

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…And Many Brands are Testing

29
 Branded Virtual Goods & Sponsorships are
Impactful

Interstitial Call to action – click to

mobile site, app, call,
location, add to
calendar, and more

Source: Booyah and Shazam.

30
 Smartphones Can Make TV Interactive

TV Action Via Mobile:

- Get coupons / offers

- Learn more about

products

- Share content with

friends

31
M-COMMERCE –
CHANGING SHOPPING
BEHAVIOR

32
 Online Commerce Gaining Share vs. Offline –
Online at ~5% of USA Retail, Mobile Should Get to Same Level Much Faster

USA eCommerce % Share(1) of Total Retail Sales, CQ3:00-CQ4:12E

7%
eCommerce
Penetration
6% 4% in CQ2:10
eCommerce as % of Total Retail Sales

5%

4%

3% Mobile
eCommerce
Penetration?
2%

1%

0%
Q3:00 Q3:01 Q3:02 Q3:03 Q3:04 Q3:05 Q3:06 Q3:07 Q3:08 Q3:09 Q3:10 Q3:11 Q3:12

eCommerce Penetration Linear Trendline (y=0.094x + 0.9895, R^2=0.9599)

Note: (1) Adjusted for eBay by adding back eBay US gross merchandise volume;
Source: US Dept. of Commerce (CQ2:10), Morgan Stanley Research.

33
 Mobile Revolutionizing Commerce –
With Constant Product Improvements

• Location-Based Services – Enable real-time physical retail / service opportunities

• Transparent Pricing – Instant local + online price comparison could disrupt retailers

• Discounted Offers – Deep discounts drive foot traffic to local retailers

• Immediate Gratification – OTA (over-the-air) instant digital product + content delivery

Location-Based Services Transparent Pricing Discounted Offers Immediate Gratification

Shopkick iPhone App ShopSavvy Android App Groupon iPhone App iTunes Store on iPhone
Finds deals and offers Comparison shopping among Local Services Music / video / apps
in your area online + local stores Up to 90% Off delivered wirelessly

Source: Company Reports, Morgan Stanley Research.

34
 Mobile Shopping Apps - Changing Behavior +
Driving Revenue & ROI For Retail Partners
Shopkick’s Daily Walk-Ins to Retail Partners, 11/15/10 – 12/6/10

More shopkick walk-ins

to a retail partner on
3X
Cyber Monday due to Cyber
the 3x kickbucks Monday
promotion than on
# of Daily Walk-Ins

Black Friday

Black
Friday
These types of
experiments have
been repeated a
dozen times at 5
different retailers:
every time, 50-100%
increase in foot
traffic

11/15 11/18 11/21 11/24 11/27 11/30 12/3 12/6

Source: Shopkick. Note Shopkick has 750K users in five months since launch.

35
 Mobile Devices + Services Driving New Ways to Shop

Mobile is clearly becoming a new way people

shop…[eBay has] nearly tripled mobile GMV (gross
merchandise value) year-over-year to nearly $2
billion, with strong holiday shopping momentum in
Q4. In 2011, we expect Mobile GMV to double to $4
billion.

- John Donahoe, President & CEO, eBay

CQ4:10 Earnings Call

36
EMERGENCE OF VIRTUAL
GOODS & IN-APP COMMERCE
 Virtual Goods = $2B Market in USA

U.S. Virtual Goods Revenue, 2008 – 2011E

$2,500
U.S. Virtual Goods Revenue

$2,000

$1,500
($MM)

$1,000

$500

$0
2008 2009 2010 2011
Source: Inside Virtual Goods: The US Virtual Goods Market
2010-2011.
38
 What Are Virtual Goods Anyway?

Average # of Transactions & Annual Dollar Spent by Virtual Goods, 9/09

$60
Average Monthly Revenue per

$50 # of Transactions Gross Dollars Spent

$50

$40
$30
$30
User

$20 $20 $20

$20
$12 $11
$10 7 5 5 5 5 5 5
$0

Source: Playspan survey of 1736 respondents in 9/09.

39
 Monetization Shift From Paid Downloads To Virtual Goods
Has Been Profound For Many Developers

Average Daily Revenue for a KPCB Portfolio Company

Virtual Goods Introduction Drove 5x Revenue Increase

Source: KP Portfolio Company

40
 Powerful Shift to Ad & Virtual Good Monetization from
Initial Pay per Download Models

Revenue Composition for Pinger – a KPCB Portfolio Company

12/2009 12/2010

5% Paid Downloads

Advertising 35%
30%
64% 63%
Affiliate
2%
Virtual Goods

Source: Pinger.

41
 Gaming Elements = Key to Success For Many Mobile /
Social Applications

’Gamification’ of apps is the ultimate way to

engage a new generation of audiences.

Bing Gordon, KPCB Partner, AIAS* Hall-of-Famer

Note: *AIAS is the Academy of Interactive Arts & Sciences.

42
NOT ALL PLATFORMS
ARE CREATED EQUAL
 Global Smartphones – Huge Android + iPhone Growth

Global Smartphone Market Share - Q4:10 vs. Q4:09

Q4 2010 Q4 2009 Growth

OS vendor shipments (M) % share shipments (M) % share Q4’10/Q4’09

Total 101 100% 54 100% 89%

Google* 33 33% 5 9% 615%
Nokia 31 31% 24 44% 30%
Apple 16 16% 9 16% 86%
RIM 15 14% 11 20% 36%
Microsoft 3 3% 4 7% -20%
Others 3 3% 2 3% 65%

*Note: The Google numbers in this table relate to Android, as well as the OMS and Taps platform variants.
Source: Canalys estimates, ©Canalys 2011

44
 Differences in Platform Engagement – Internet + App
Usage Massively Higher on Android + iOS

Mobile Platform Installed Base vs. App Downloads per Day

1,200 20

App Downloads per Day (MM)

17
Installed Base (MM)

1,000 16
800
11 12
600
8
400 5
4
200 2 4
<1
0 0

Installed Base (MM) App Downloads per Day (MM)

45
 Platform Differences Can Significantly Impact Monetization -
Built-in Billing & In-App Commerce are Key

% of Free Users Converting To Paid, iOS vs. Other

16%

14%
iPhone
12%

10%

8%

6%

4%
Other
2%

0%

Source: KPCB Portfolio Companies

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CHANGE WILL ACCELERATE,
NEW PLAYERS EMERGING
RAPIDLY
 Global Public Internet Companies –
Reflection on Changes Over Last 6 Years
Top Global 15 Publicly Traded Internet Companies
by Market Value – 2011 vs. 2004
2011 2010 2004
Market Revenue Market Revenue
Rank Company Region Value ($B) ($MM) Rank Company Region Value ($B) ($MM)
1 Apple USA $327 $76,283 1 eBay USA $62 $3,271
2 Google USA 198 29,321 2 Yahoo! USA 45 3,575
3 Amazon.com USA 83 34,204 3 IAC/Interactive* USA 37 4,188
4 Tencent CHN 45 1,898* 4 Yahoo! Japan JPN 36 1,101
5 eBay USA 42 9,156 5 Google USA 30 3,189
6 Baidu CHN 42 1,207* 6 Amazon.com USA 17 6,921
7 Yahoo! Japan JPN 22 2,995* 7 Apple USA 14 8,279
8 Yahoo! USA 22 6,325 8 Rakuten JPN 8 445
9 Priceline.com USA 22 2,338* 9 Monster USA 3 846
10 Alibaba.com CHN 11 568* 10 WebMD USA 2 134
11 Netflix USA 11 2,162 11 Index JPN 2 357
12 Rakuten JPN 11 3,204* 12 Shanda CHN 2 157
13 NHN KOR 8 1,062 13 NCSoft KOR 2 280
14 Expedia** USA 7 2,955 14 NHN KOR 1 253
15 Netease CHN 5 573 15 For-side.com JPN 1 85
Total $667B $117B Total $262B $33B

3 of 2009 Top 15 Companies (Alibaba, Baidu, Expedia*) Went Public Post 2004
Note: 2011 data as of 2/8/2010; 2004 data as of 9/17/2004. *2010 data not available, 2009 revenue data shown instead. **Expedia
was owned by IAC/Interactive in 2004 and later spun off. Source: FactSet, Google Finance.

48
 New Computing Cycle Characteristics
Reduce Usage Friction Via Better Processing Power + Improved User Interface +
Smaller Form Factor + Lower Prices + Expanded Services = 10x More Devices

Computing Growth Drivers Over Time, 1960-2020E

More than
Just Phones
1,000,000
Mobile iPad
Internet Smartphone
100,000 Kindle
Devices/Users (MM in Log Scale)

Desktop Tablet
10,000 Internet MP3
Cell phone/
PDA
1000
10B+ Car Electronics
PC GPS, ABS, A/V
Units???
100 Mobile
1B+ Units/ Video
Minicomputer
Users
100MM+ Home
10 Entertainment
Units
Mainframe Games
10MM+ Units
1 Wireless Home
Appliances
1MM+ Units

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020

Note: PC installed base reached 100MM in 1993, cellphone/Internet users reached 1B in 2002/2005 respectively;
Source: ITU, Mark Lipacis, Morgan Stanley Research.

49
 Technology Wealth Creation/Destruction Cycles

New Companies Often Win Big in New Cycles While Incumbents Often Falter
Mainframe Mini Personal Desktop Internet Mobile Internet
Computing Computing Computing Computing Computing
1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s

New New New New

Winners Winners Winners Winners
IBM Digital Equipment Microsoft Google
NCR Data General Cisco AOL
Control Data HP Intel eBay
Sperry Prime Apple Yahoo!
Honeywell Computervision Oracle Yahoo! Japan
Burroughs Wang Labs EMC Amazon.com
Dell Tencent
Compaq Alibaba
Baidu
Rakuten

Note: Winners from 1950s to 1980s based on Fortune 500 rankings (revenue-based), desktop Internet winners based on wealth
created from 1995 to respective peak market capitalizations.
Source: Factset, Fortune, Morgan Stanley Research.

50
 iPhone + Android Apps for Nearly Everyone –
Lots of Disintermediation Already…More to Come
Existing Product
Existing Products Potentially Displaced by… …iPhone Solutions Shipments/Users
Wi-Fi enabled VoIP Apps 1B
Landline Phone Free calling + online status + IM/SMS integration
(Fring/Truphone…) 2008 global phone lines
Pandora/Spotify/iMeem/Last.fm/Publi 233MM*
Standalone Radio Personalized radio station based on genre/artist
c Radio (app)… 2008E USA listeners
Portable DVD/ Integrated iPod 130MM
Better UI/local storage not a limit (for streaming apps)
Multimedia Players Function/YouTube/tv.com/Netflix 2009E global shipments
3.0 Megapixels/tap to select focus/anti-shake
Low-end Digital Built-in Camera/Nationwide 103MM
shutter/OTA sharing on
Camera Insurance app… 2009E global shipments
Facebook/Flickr/email/Nationwide Insurance app
62MM
MP3 Players Integrated iPod Function/Spotify Better UI/local storage not a limit (for streaming apps)
2009E global shipments
Built-in Google Maps/App Store (ATT 48MM
GPS Devices Same basic function + always-on Internet connection
Navigator…) 2009E global shipments
Portable Gaming Tap Tap Revenge/Bejeweled/Flight 48MM
Lower ASP/instant OTA download/multi-touch control
Devices Control… 2009E global shipments
Low-end Built-in Video Capture Function/FOX Built-in video editing/OTA upload to YouTube/OTA 14MM
Camcorders News UReport… upload to FOX News 2009E global shipments
Standalone Voice
Built-in Voice Recorder Digitized/easy to manage/sync with PC --
Recorder
Compass Built-in Electronic Compass Synergy with built-in maps feature --
Available in 10 languages, 600+ spoken phrases in
Audible Dictionary Lonely Planet Mobile Phrasebook --
each language

Note: *OTA = Over the Air; 233MM radio listeners in USA, per SNL Kagan/Arbitron.
Source: Future Horizons, iSuppli, IDC, Morgan Stanley Research.

51
SUMMARY TRENDS TO WATCH
 Early Innings of a Massive Phenomenon…

• Ubiquitous Computing – Real-time connectivity / 24x7 / in palm of hand

• More Affordable – Device and data plan pricing falling

• Faster – Networks and devices improving (owing to Moore’s Law)

• Personal – Location / preferences / behavior

• Fun to use – Social / casual / reward-driven marketing

• Access nearly everything anywhere - “Stuff” in cloud

• Explosion of apps and monetization – More and making more money

• Measurable real-world activation - Driving foot traffic to physical stores

• Reward / influence behavior in real-time - for exactly the right people

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 …Early Innings of a Massive Phenomenon

On the horizon – 2011 and Beyond:

• HTML5 vs. downloadable apps
• NFC (Near Field Communication) for payment / offers / loyalty
• Consumer led mobile health for monitoring / diagnosis / wellness
• Rapid enterprise adoption of tablets for productivity
• Tipping Point – > 50% population in developed markets will have
Smartphone
• “SoLoMo” – Social / local / mobile converging
• “Gamification” – Ultimate way to engage a new generation of
audiences
• Empowerment – impact of empowering billions of people around
the world with real-time connected devices has just begun...
It's going to be a fascinating decade
54
 Big Changes Ahead

We’re at the beginning of a new era for social

Internet innovators who are re-imagining and re-
inventing a Web of people and places, looking
beyond documents and websites.

- John Doerr, Partner, KPCB

55
 Contacts, Presentation

Matt Murphy Mary Meeker

mmurphy@kpcb.com mmeeker@kpcb.com
twitter: @mmurph
http://www.kpcb.com/team/index.php?Matt Murphy http://www.kpcb.com/team/index.php?Mary Meeker

http://www.slideshare.net/kleinerperkins/kpcb-top-10-mobile-trends-feb-2011

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