Briefing | Modelling covid-19’s death toll

There have been 7m-13m excess deaths worldwide during the pandemic

The rich world suffered relatively badly, but most of the dying has been elsewhere

OFFICIAL FIGURES say there have been 55,000 covid deaths in South Africa since March 27th last year. That puts the country’s death rate at 92.7 per 100,000 people, the highest in sub-Saharan Africa. It is also a significant underestimate—as, it seems safe to infer, are all the other African data on the disease.

This article appeared in the Briefing section of the print edition under the headline “Counting the dead”

Ten million reasons to vaccinate the world

From the May 15th 2021 edition

Discover stories from this section and more in the list of contents

Explore the edition
Shoppers at a street market in Shanghai, China

As Donald Trump’s trade war heats up, China is surprisingly confident

Should it be?

A photo collage with a triumphant-looking Netanyahu at the center, surrounded by images of Israeli bombings in Gaza and Lebanon, refugees, grieving victims, and figures like Trump, Khamenei and al-Sharaa.

An unrestrained Israel is reshaping the Middle East

Its quest for hegemony will strain domestic cohesion and foreign alliances


An illustration showcasing human enhancement, featuring zoomed-in sections highlighting enhanced body parts and their corresponding treatments.

Dreams of improving the human race are no longer science fiction

But the “enhancement” industry is still hobbled by out-of-date regulation


If it comes to a stand-off, Europe has leverage over America

But pulling some of those levers would be so damaging as to make them unusable

Syria has got rid of Bashar al-Assad, but not sectarian tensions

Its new rulers seem torn between reassuring minorities and appeasing their jihadist base